Is the stock market boom a result of the baby boom? This paper develops an overlapping generations model in which a baby boom is modeled as a high realization of a random birth rate, and the price of capital is determined endogenously by a convex cost of adjustment. A baby boom increases national saving and investment and thus causes an increase in the price of capital. The price of capital is mean–reverting so the initial increase in the price of capital is followed by a decrease. Social Security can potentially affect national saving and investment, though in the long run, it does not affect the price of capital.
MLA
Abel, Andrew B.. “The Effects of a Baby Boom on Stock Prices and Capital Accumulation in the Presence of Social Security.” Econometrica, vol. 71, .no 2, Econometric Society, 2003, pp. 551-578, https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00417
Chicago
Abel, Andrew B.. “The Effects of a Baby Boom on Stock Prices and Capital Accumulation in the Presence of Social Security.” Econometrica, 71, .no 2, (Econometric Society: 2003), 551-578. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00417
APA
Abel, A. B. (2003). The Effects of a Baby Boom on Stock Prices and Capital Accumulation in the Presence of Social Security. Econometrica, 71(2), 551-578. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00417
We are deeply saddened by the passing of Kate Ho, the John L. Weinberg Professor of Economics and Business Policy at Princeton University and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. Kate was a brilliant IO economist and scholar whose impact on the profession will resonate for many years to come.
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